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To Our Readers
These are extraordinary times. We all remain uncertain about what the world will look like on the other side of the pandemic, or when we may get there. And so we wanted this year’s Forum to both acknowledge and reflect the changes that are unfolding.
Importantly, this year’s content highlights the impacts – some perhaps lasting, and others short-lived – that the disruptions caused by the pandemic are having on businesses, markets, and economies. In this, we focus especially on the research, work, and analysis being carried out across all sectors of the economy by our esteemed academic and industry experts, as well as by our colleagues.
We thought that it would be useful to frame many of these ideas by exploring an overarching theme: Who will bear residual risks in the reconfigured economic landscape? This question cuts across all manner of business relationships: B2B, producer/consumer, supplier/producer, landlord/tenant, lender/business, employer/employees, business/municipality, homeowner/mortgage provider, and insurer/insured, to name only a few.
How that residual risk is borne will be determined by law, regulation, and analysis of facts, on the one hand; and by the nature of the relationships themselves, on the other. Appropriately sorting out the responsibilities and risks among the different parties in a range of relationships, industries, and fact circumstances will require deeply thoughtful efforts.
We hope you continue to find Forum insightful, provocative, and helpful in these challenging times.
— Martha S. Samuelson, CEO and Chairman
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A Note from Martha S. Samuelson
With this seventh edition of Forum 2020, our publishing efforts come to a close for this extraordinary and difficult year.
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Forum
“Seeing Is Not the Same Thing as Looking”: Anupam B. Jena, M.D., Ph.D., on Learning from Natural Experiments
Analysis Group affiliate Anupam B. Jena has spoken and published widely on the importance of creative thinking when using economic tools to study difficult questions in health care policy and practice.
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COVID-19 and Bottom-Line Impacts in Trademark Litigation: A Q&A with Joel Steckel
The immediate economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic extend beyond their most visible manifestations in the shutting of businesses and the dramatic rise in unemployment.
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Forum
Platforms, Competition, and the Crisis: Arun Sundararajan on How Restaurants Have Adapted During the Pandemic
The spread of the coronavirus and ensuing stay-at-home orders have caused tremendous adversity in the restaurant business.
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Forum
Staffing, Tracking, and Testing for COVID-19 in Elder Care Facilities: A Q&A with David Grabowski
The coronavirus has disproportionately affected residents of elder care facilities.
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Forum
Accounting for the Coronavirus: Subjectivity and Judgment During Times of Crisis
The economic shutdown resulting from governmental responses to the global coronavirus pandemic has disrupted all manner of business relationships governed by contracts.
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Forward-Looking Statements and Transparency: Esther Mills on Accounting for Pandemic-Related Losses
To the many business disruptions caused by the coronavirus pandemic, add one more: It has made it extraordinarily difficult for companies to make estimates required for financial reporting.
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Powering Through – and Beyond – the Crisis
The US electric grid is saving lives during the pandemic; we need to be investing in it during the recovery.
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Matthew Grennan on Concentration in Medical Supply Markets: Considerations from the Coronavirus Pandemic
The coronavirus pandemic caused a huge shock to demand for medical devices, including ventilators and personal protective equipment (PPE).
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Innovation, Drug Pricing, and the Pandemic: A Q&A with Craig Garthwaite
The ongoing search for a COVID-19 vaccine is receiving a great deal of attention. At present, clinical and safety matters are uppermost in people’s minds, but affordability and pricing questions will also eventually arise.
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Forum
Shutdowns, Joblessness, and a Tentative Recovery: Jesse Rothstein on the Impact of the Coronavirus on the US Labor Market
In the wake of the onset of coronavirus-induced state shutdowns, millions of workers lost their jobs or were furloughed.
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Forum
Outlook for Oil Prices and the Industry in Turbulent Times: A Q&A with Philip K. Verleger
In early March 2020, oil prices collapsed as a result of simultaneous shocks to the supply of and demand for the commodity.
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Forum
Assessing the Evidence from COVID-19 Deaths: A Q&A with Christopher Knittel
Recent research by Professor Knittel and his coauthor sheds light on the important question of who is at greater risk of dying from COVID-19.
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Challenges of Analyzing Health Care Data in the COVID-19 Era
The massive disruption created by the COVID-19 pandemic extends beyond the health, economic, and societal impacts featured in headlines. COVID-19 is also having a confounding effect on health outcome assessment and comparative effectiveness research.
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Financial Impacts for Hospitals from COVID-19
Although the CARES Act provides some relief for hospitals, they still face large financial losses.
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In Combatting a Global Pandemic, Build Public Confidence First
Austan Goolsbee, the Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Economics at The University of Chicago Booth School of Business, served on President Barack Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers during the 2008 financial crisis.
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Forum
Zombie, Over-Levered, or Shocked-but-Sound? Pandemic-Induced Bankruptcies and Related Valuation Questions
Shocks from the coronavirus pandemic have placed and will continue to place an enormous strain on the global economy and US businesses.
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Forum
Will There Be Another Mortgage Crisis? Lessons from the Great Recession
When facing an economic crisis on the scale of the one caused by the coronavirus pandemic, it’s logical to look to other periods of economic upheaval for a sense, even if imperfect, of what may happen next.
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Forum
Contracts and Crisis: Nobel Laureate Oliver Hart on Contract Theory and the World of the Pandemic
The coronavirus pandemic has disrupted a large number of ongoing business relationships and generated considerable uncertainty over basic commercial actions.
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Forum
Learning from Lehman: Lessons for Today
Recent dislocation in financial markets induced by the coronavirus pandemic brings back memories of the 2008 financial crisis.
Also on AnalysisGroup.com
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